MLB
Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins
Saturday, May 16, 20:10
Consensus
Medium · 64.0%Tampa Bay Rays
70.0%
Miami Marlins
30.0%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 91.0% | 9.0% |
| poisson | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| elo | 62.7% | 37.3% |
- Tampa Bay Rays wPPG 1.61 (home 1.50, W-W-W-W-W)
- Miami Marlins wPPG 0.55 (away 0.50, L-L-L-W-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.44
- xG Tampa Bay Rays 5.15 vs Miami Marlins 4.95
- League avg: home 4.60 / away 4.40
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Tampa Bay Rays 1479 vs Miami Marlins 1449
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).