MLB
Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays
Saturday, May 16, 17:10
Consensus
High · 81.4%Detroit Tigers
83.9%
Toronto Blue Jays
16.1%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 91.4% | 8.6% |
| poisson | 83.1% | 16.9% |
| elo | 72.4% | 27.6% |
- Detroit Tigers wPPG 1.09 (home 3.00, W-W-W-W-W)
- Toronto Blue Jays wPPG 0.56 (away 1.50, L-L-W-L-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.48
- xG Detroit Tigers 4.40 vs Toronto Blue Jays 2.22
- League avg: home 4.60 / away 4.40
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Detroit Tigers 1586 vs Toronto Blue Jays 1479
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).