MLB
Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs
Thursday, May 14, 23:15
Consensus
Medium · 57.0%Atlanta Braves
59.3%
book 62.3%
Chicago Cubs
40.7%
book 37.7%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 68.6% | 31.4% |
| poisson | 47.3% | 52.7% |
| elo | 59.1% | 40.9% |
| market | 62.3% | 37.7% |
- Atlanta Braves wPPG 1.13 (home 2.00, W-L-W-L-W)
- Chicago Cubs wPPG 0.85 (away 2.00, L-W-L-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.49
- xG Atlanta Braves 9.60 vs Chicago Cubs 10.14
- League avg: home 4.60 / away 4.40
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Atlanta Braves 1620 vs Chicago Cubs 1616
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker Money line prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- away 2.50EV +1.8%Edge 3.0%Kelly 1.2%