MLB
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies
Friday, May 15, 22:40
Consensus
High · 90.8%Pittsburgh Pirates
96.1%
Philadelphia Phillies
3.9%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 97.4% | 2.6% |
| poisson | 98.2% | 1.8% |
| elo | 79.5% | 20.5% |
- Pittsburgh Pirates wPPG 1.30 (home 1.71, W-L-W-L-W)
- Philadelphia Phillies wPPG 0.45 (away 0.00, L-W-L-L-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 2.26
- xG Pittsburgh Pirates 9.66 vs Philadelphia Phillies 2.17
- League avg: home 4.60 / away 4.40
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Pittsburgh Pirates 1556 vs Philadelphia Phillies 1380
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).