MLB
Athletics vs St. Louis Cardinals
Thursday, May 14, 19:05
Consensus
Medium · 59.4%Athletics
42.2%
book 53.4%
St. Louis Cardinals
57.8%
book 46.6%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| poisson | 12.8% | 87.2% |
| elo | 57.9% | 42.1% |
| market | 53.4% | 46.6% |
- Athletics wPPG 0.92 (home 1.29, W-W-W-L-W)
- St. Louis Cardinals wPPG 0.76 (away 2.40, L-L-L-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.16
- xG Athletics 4.00 vs St. Louis Cardinals 8.66
- League avg: home 4.60 / away 4.40
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Athletics 1470 vs St. Louis Cardinals 1474
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker Money line prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- away 2.05EV +18.6%Edge 11.2%Kelly 17.7%