MLB
Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals
Thursday, May 14, 23:40
Consensus
Medium · 63.3%Chicago White Sox
58.9%
book 44.5%
Kansas City Royals
41.1%
book 55.5%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 82.1% | 17.9% |
| poisson | 62.3% | 37.7% |
| elo | 68.8% | 31.2% |
| market | 44.5% | 55.5% |
- Chicago White Sox wPPG 0.56 (home 0.00, W-L-L-W-L)
- Kansas City Royals wPPG 0.52 (away 0.00, W-W-L-L-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.95
- xG Chicago White Sox 5.28 vs Kansas City Royals 4.31
- League avg: home 4.60 / away 4.40
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Chicago White Sox 1491 vs Kansas City Royals 1414
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker Money line prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- home 2.15EV +26.7%Edge 14.4%Kelly 23.2%