MLB
Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants
Friday, May 15, 02:10
Consensus
High · 79.1%Los Angeles Dodgers
76.1%
book 62.3%
San Francisco Giants
23.9%
book 37.7%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 88.7% | 11.3% |
| poisson | 90.4% | 9.6% |
| elo | 71.4% | 28.6% |
| market | 62.3% | 37.7% |
- Los Angeles Dodgers wPPG 0.92 (home 2.40, W-L-W-W-W)
- San Francisco Giants wPPG 0.87 (away 1.13, L-L-L-L-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.29
- xG Los Angeles Dodgers 4.50 vs San Francisco Giants 1.67
- League avg: home 4.60 / away 4.40
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Los Angeles Dodgers 1586 vs San Francisco Giants 1487
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker Money line prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- home 1.55EV +18.0%Edge 13.9%Kelly 32.7%