MLB
Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds
Friday, May 15, 23:10
Consensus
High · 74.2%Cleveland Guardians
19.4%
Cincinnati Reds
80.6%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 8.6% | 91.4% |
| poisson | 19.0% | 81.0% |
| elo | 42.1% | 57.9% |
- Cleveland Guardians wPPG 0.80 (home 2.00, L-W-L-L-W)
- Cincinnati Reds wPPG 1.47 (away 3.00, W-L-W-W-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -1.48
- xG Cleveland Guardians 3.64 vs Cincinnati Reds 6.49
- League avg: home 4.60 / away 4.40
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Cleveland Guardians 1470 vs Cincinnati Reds 1586
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).