WNBA
Los Angeles Sparks vs Toronto Tempo
Saturday, May 16, 02:00
Consensus
High · 81.6%Los Angeles Sparks
78.7%
book 72.2%
Toronto Tempo
21.3%
book 27.8%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 94.9% | 5.1% |
| normal | 81.0% | 19.0% |
| elo | 75.4% | 24.6% |
| market | 72.2% | 27.8% |
- Los Angeles Sparks wPPG 1.22 (home 1.80, W-L-W-W-W)
- Toronto Tempo wPPG 0.24 (away 0.00, L-L-L-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.82
- Expected score Los Angeles Sparks 59.3 vs Toronto Tempo 51.3
- Margin μ=10.55, σ=12
- P(home) = Φ(μ/σ) = 81.0%
- Elo Los Angeles Sparks 1620 vs Toronto Tempo 1485
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker Money line prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- home 1.33EV +4.6%Edge 6.5%Kelly 14.1%