WNBA
Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks
Friday, May 22, 02:00
Consensus
Medium · 53.4%Phoenix Mercury
55.1%
Los Angeles Sparks
44.9%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 43.4% | 56.6% |
| normal | 62.9% | 37.1% |
| elo | 54.3% | 45.7% |
- Phoenix Mercury wPPG 1.04 (home 2.00, L-L-W-W-L)
- Los Angeles Sparks wPPG 1.22 (away 3.00, W-L-W-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.17
- Expected score Phoenix Mercury 67.2 vs Los Angeles Sparks 65.7
- Margin μ=3.96, σ=12
- P(home) = Φ(μ/σ) = 62.9%
- Elo Phoenix Mercury 1590 vs Los Angeles Sparks 1620
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).