WNBA
Dallas Wings vs Minnesota Lynx
Friday, May 15, 00:00
Consensus
Medium · 68.1%Dallas Wings
40.7%
book 61.6%
Minnesota Lynx
59.3%
book 38.4%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 6.0% | 94.0% |
| normal | 28.1% | 71.9% |
| elo | 26.2% | 73.8% |
| market | 61.6% | 38.4% |
- Dallas Wings wPPG 0.70 (home 1.20, W-L-L-L-L)
- Minnesota Lynx wPPG 1.69 (away 1.80, W-L-W-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -1.73
- Expected score Dallas Wings 60.3 vs Minnesota Lynx 69.7
- Margin μ=-6.94, σ=12
- P(home) = Φ(μ/σ) = 28.1%
- Elo Dallas Wings 1380 vs Minnesota Lynx 1620
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker Money line prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- away 2.40EV +42.2%Edge 20.9%Kelly 30.2%