K League 1

Ulsan HD vs Incheon United

Tuesday, Jul 21, 10:30

Consensus

Medium · 68.7%
Ulsan HD
72.1%
Incheon United
27.9%

Per-model

ModelHomeAway
form60.7%39.3%
poisson84.3%15.7%
elo56.1%43.9%
  • Ulsan HD wPPG 1.07 (home 2.20, D-L-W-W-D)
  • Incheon United wPPG 1.18 (away 1.33, D-W-D-D-W)
  • Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.27
  • xG Ulsan HD 0.46 vs Incheon United 0.10
  • League avg: home 3.10 / away 2.90
  • Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
  • Elo Ulsan HD 1483 vs Incheon United 1500
  • Home-field bonus +60

Value

No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).

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