K League 1
Gangwon FC vs Ulsan HD
Sunday, May 17, 10:00
Consensus
Medium · 62.7%Gangwon FC
61.2%
book 57.1%
Ulsan HD
38.8%
book 42.9%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| poisson | 76.4% | 23.6% |
| elo | 54.3% | 45.7% |
| market | 57.1% | 42.9% |
- Gangwon FC wPPG 0.88 (home 1.00, D-L-W-D-L)
- Ulsan HD wPPG 1.07 (away 0.20, D-L-W-W-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.05
- xG Gangwon FC 0.69 vs Ulsan HD 0.26
- League avg: home 3.10 / away 2.90
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Gangwon FC 1453 vs Ulsan HD 1483
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker Money line prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- home 2.25EV +37.6%Edge 4.0%Kelly 30.1%