K League 1

Bucheon FC 1995 vs Pohang Steelers

Sunday, May 17, 10:00

Consensus

Medium · 66.7%
Bucheon FC 1995
61.3%
book 38.7%
Pohang Steelers
38.7%
book 61.3%

Per-model

ModelHomeAway
form81.9%18.1%
poisson84.0%16.0%
elo60.9%39.1%
market38.7%61.3%
  • Bucheon FC 1995 wPPG 1.24 (home 2.50, W-W-L-D-L)
  • Pohang Steelers wPPG 0.92 (away 1.20, L-W-L-W-L)
  • Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.94
  • xG Bucheon FC 1995 0.62 vs Pohang Steelers 0.15
  • League avg: home 3.10 / away 2.90
  • Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
  • Elo Bucheon FC 1995 1504 vs Pohang Steelers 1487
  • Home-field bonus +60
  • Bookmaker Money line prices, with their margin stripped out

Value

  • home 3.40
    EV +108.4%
    Edge 22.5%
    Kelly 45.1%

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