K League 1

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Sunday, May 17, 07:40

Consensus

Medium · 63.6%
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
67.5%
book 74.0%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
32.5%
book 26.0%

Per-model

ModelHomeAway
form56.7%43.3%
poisson69.4%30.6%
elo53.7%46.3%
market74.0%26.0%
  • Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors wPPG 1.18 (home 2.25, D-W-L-D-W)
  • Gimcheon Sangmu FC wPPG 1.18 (away 1.25, D-W-D-W-W)
  • Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.17
  • xG Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 0.78 vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0.40
  • League avg: home 3.10 / away 2.90
  • Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
  • Elo Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 1513 vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1547
  • Home-field bonus +60
  • Bookmaker Money line prices, with their margin stripped out

Value

  • away 4.75
    EV +54.2%
    Edge 6.5%
    Kelly 14.5%

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