K League 1
Incheon United vs Gwangju FC
Saturday, May 16, 10:00
Consensus
Medium · 62.6%Incheon United
71.9%
book 82.5%
Gwangju FC
28.1%
book 17.5%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 46.6% | 53.4% |
| poisson | 73.3% | 26.7% |
| elo | 57.9% | 42.1% |
| market | 82.5% | 17.5% |
- Incheon United wPPG 1.18 (home 1.25, D-W-D-D-W)
- Gwangju FC wPPG 1.55 (away 1.67, W-W-L-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.08
- xG Incheon United 0.46 vs Gwangju FC 0.19
- League avg: home 3.10 / away 2.90
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Incheon United 1500 vs Gwangju FC 1504
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker Money line prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- away 7.00EV +96.7%Edge 10.7%Kelly 16.1%