K League 1
Daejeon Hana Citizen vs FC Seoul
Saturday, May 16, 07:30
Consensus
High · 71.5%Daejeon Hana Citizen
66.8%
book 48.1%
FC Seoul
33.2%
book 51.9%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 83.8% | 16.2% |
| poisson | 85.4% | 14.6% |
| elo | 66.1% | 33.9% |
| market | 48.1% | 51.9% |
- Daejeon Hana Citizen wPPG 0.98 (home 2.60, L-W-D-W-W)
- FC Seoul wPPG 0.65 (away 0.83, D-L-L-W-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.03
- xG Daejeon Hana Citizen 1.24 vs FC Seoul 0.32
- League avg: home 3.10 / away 2.90
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Daejeon Hana Citizen 1539 vs FC Seoul 1483
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker Money line prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- home 2.70EV +80.3%Edge 18.7%Kelly 47.2%