K League 1

Jeju SK vs FC Anyang

Sunday, May 17, 07:30

Consensus

Medium · 52.4%
Jeju SK
49.2%
book 54.0%
FC Anyang
50.8%
book 46.0%

Per-model

ModelHomeAway
form38.5%61.5%
poisson45.3%54.7%
elo52.5%47.5%
market54.0%46.0%
  • Jeju SK wPPG 0.37 (home 0.50, L-D-D-L-L)
  • FC Anyang wPPG 0.80 (away 1.00, W-L-L-L-W)
  • Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.29
  • xG Jeju SK 0.41 vs FC Anyang 0.48
  • League avg: home 3.10 / away 2.90
  • Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
  • Elo Jeju SK 1474 vs FC Anyang 1517
  • Home-field bonus +60
  • Bookmaker Money line prices, with their margin stripped out

Value

  • away 2.88
    EV +46.3%
    Edge 4.8%
    Kelly 24.6%

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