Brasileirão Betano
Chapecoense vs Flamengo
Thursday, Jul 23, 00:30
Consensus
Medium · 63.5%Chapecoense
9.1%
Draw
20.8%
Flamengo
70.1%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 2.7% | 24.0% | 73.3% |
| poisson | 8.3% | 13.3% | 78.4% |
| elo | 30.5% | 28.6% | 40.8% |
- Chapecoense wPPG 0.35 (home 0.43, L-D-D-L-L)
- Flamengo wPPG 2.52 (away 2.13, W-W-W-W-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -2.06
- xG Chapecoense 0.65 vs Flamengo 2.50
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Chapecoense 1440 vs Flamengo 1551
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).