Brasileirão Betano
Vitória vs Vasco da Gama
Thursday, Jul 16, 22:30
Consensus
Medium · 66.7%Vitória
79.0%
Draw
15.6%
Vasco da Gama
5.4%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 58.5% | 29.9% | 11.6% |
| poisson | 94.1% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| elo | 42.6% | 27.8% | 29.6% |
- Vitória wPPG 1.40 (home 2.67, D-W-L-W-L)
- Vasco da Gama wPPG 1.46 (away 0.57, D-L-L-W-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.01
- xG Vitória 3.19 vs Vasco da Gama 0.14
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Vitória 1497 vs Vasco da Gama 1494
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).