Brasileirão Betano
São Paulo vs Athletico
Thursday, Jul 23, 00:30
Consensus
Medium · 59.0%São Paulo
67.1%
Draw
21.6%
Athletico
11.3%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 47.3% | 34.2% | 18.6% |
| poisson | 85.6% | 10.8% | 3.7% |
| elo | 41.7% | 28.2% | 30.1% |
- São Paulo wPPG 1.53 (home 2.17, D-W-W-W-W)
- Athletico wPPG 1.60 (away 0.57, W-W-L-D-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.58
- xG São Paulo 2.51 vs Athletico 0.32
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo São Paulo 1509 vs Athletico 1513
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).