Brasileirão Betano
Botafogo vs Santos
Thursday, Jul 16, 22:30
Consensus
Medium · 50.2%Botafogo
54.1%
Draw
23.1%
Santos
22.8%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 42.5% | 35.8% | 21.7% |
| poisson | 67.0% | 14.4% | 18.5% |
| elo | 42.1% | 28.0% | 29.9% |
- Botafogo wPPG 1.06 (home 1.33, L-L-W-L-W)
- Santos wPPG 0.98 (away 0.57, L-D-L-W-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.42
- xG Botafogo 3.19 vs Santos 1.71
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Botafogo 1497 vs Santos 1497
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).