Brasileirão Betano
Athletico vs Mirassol
Saturday, May 30, 19:00
Consensus
Medium · 64.3%Athletico
70.1%
Draw
20.0%
Mirassol
9.9%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 63.6% | 27.6% | 8.8% |
| poisson | 82.8% | 12.0% | 5.2% |
| elo | 45.7% | 26.3% | 28.0% |
- Athletico wPPG 1.78 (home 2.38, W-W-L-D-L)
- Mirassol wPPG 1.01 (away 0.67, D-W-D-D-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.24
- xG Athletico 2.45 vs Mirassol 0.42
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Athletico 1513 vs Mirassol 1487
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).