Brasileirão Betano
Bahia vs Botafogo
Saturday, May 30, 20:30
Consensus
Medium · 57.8%Bahia
60.4%
Draw
21.9%
Botafogo
17.7%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 59.3% | 29.5% | 11.1% |
| poisson | 67.5% | 15.3% | 17.2% |
| elo | 45.6% | 26.4% | 28.0% |
- Bahia wPPG 2.04 (home 1.29, W-D-W-D-W)
- Botafogo wPPG 0.85 (away 1.25, L-L-L-L-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.05
- xG Bahia 2.73 vs Botafogo 1.33
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Bahia 1507 vs Botafogo 1482
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).