Brasileirão Betano
Remo vs Athletico
Sunday, May 24, 19:00
Consensus
Low · 33.9%Remo
39.4%
book 34.7%
Draw
29.3%
book 29.4%
Athletico
31.2%
book 35.9%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 21.3% | 35.6% | 43.1% |
| poisson | 66.1% | 20.5% | 13.4% |
| elo | 37.2% | 30.4% | 32.4% |
| market | 34.7% | 29.4% | 35.9% |
- Remo wPPG 0.85 (home 1.00, D-D-D-L-L)
- Athletico wPPG 1.78 (away 0.57, W-W-L-D-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.44
- xG Remo 1.76 vs Athletico 0.61
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Remo 1477 vs Athletico 1513
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker 1X2 prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- home 2.65EV +4.5%Edge 4.7%Kelly 2.7%