Brasileirão Betano
Palmeiras vs Chapecoense
Sunday, May 31, 19:00
Consensus
High · 73.4%Palmeiras
81.3%
Draw
15.0%
Chapecoense
3.7%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 74.5% | 24.0% | 1.5% |
| poisson | 90.8% | 7.3% | 1.9% |
| elo | 54.1% | 22.4% | 23.6% |
- Palmeiras wPPG 2.53 (home 2.71, D-W-W-W-L)
- Chapecoense wPPG 0.87 (away 0.33, W-D-D-L-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 2.43
- xG Palmeiras 2.90 vs Chapecoense 0.24
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Palmeiras 1541 vs Chapecoense 1457
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).