Brasileirão Betano
Flamengo vs Coritiba
Saturday, May 30, 19:00
Consensus
Medium · 65.4%Flamengo
71.7%
Draw
17.8%
Coritiba
10.5%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 59.0% | 29.7% | 11.3% |
| poisson | 85.8% | 9.1% | 5.1% |
| elo | 49.7% | 24.5% | 25.9% |
- Flamengo wPPG 1.92 (home 2.33, L-D-W-W-W)
- Coritiba wPPG 1.35 (away 1.38, L-W-D-L-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.03
- xG Flamengo 3.06 vs Coritiba 0.61
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Flamengo 1550 vs Coritiba 1497
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).