Brasileirão Betano
Coritiba vs Bahia
Monday, May 25, 23:00
Consensus
Low · 18.7%Coritiba
35.5%
book 34.7%
Draw
30.0%
book 29.4%
Bahia
34.5%
book 35.9%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 16.9% | 33.2% | 49.9% |
| poisson | 49.6% | 27.2% | 23.2% |
| elo | 40.8% | 28.7% | 30.6% |
| market | 34.7% | 29.4% | 35.9% |
- Coritiba wPPG 1.35 (home 1.29, L-W-D-L-W)
- Bahia wPPG 2.04 (away 1.86, W-D-W-D-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.68
- xG Coritiba 1.24 vs Bahia 0.73
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Coritiba 1497 vs Bahia 1507
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker 1X2 prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).