Brasileirão Betano
Mirassol vs Fluminense
Saturday, May 23, 22:00
Consensus
Low · 26.9%Mirassol
36.9%
book 34.6%
Draw
28.4%
book 29.3%
Fluminense
34.6%
book 36.1%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 26.1% | 38.0% | 35.9% |
| poisson | 50.1% | 19.9% | 30.0% |
| elo | 38.2% | 29.9% | 31.9% |
| market | 34.6% | 29.3% | 36.1% |
- Mirassol wPPG 1.01 (home 1.11, D-W-D-D-D)
- Fluminense wPPG 1.93 (away 1.14, W-D-W-L-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.20
- xG Mirassol 1.97 vs Fluminense 1.48
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Mirassol 1487 vs Fluminense 1516
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker 1X2 prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).