Brasileirão Betano
Vitória vs Internacional
Saturday, May 23, 20:00
Consensus
Low · 47.0%Vitória
44.5%
book 36.3%
Draw
29.7%
book 29.5%
Internacional
25.8%
book 34.2%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 42.1% | 35.9% | 22.0% |
| poisson | 67.6% | 23.6% | 8.8% |
| elo | 40.4% | 28.9% | 30.8% |
| market | 36.3% | 29.5% | 34.2% |
- Vitória wPPG 1.28 (home 2.29, W-L-L-D-W)
- Internacional wPPG 1.29 (away 1.50, W-L-D-L-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.41
- xG Vitória 1.49 vs Internacional 0.33
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Vitória 1493 vs Internacional 1506
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker 1X2 prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- home 2.55EV +13.6%Edge 8.2%Kelly 8.8%