Brasileirão Betano
Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense
Sunday, May 24, 19:00
Consensus
Medium · 63.4%Cruzeiro
71.0%
book 74.7%
Draw
19.2%
book 17.2%
Chapecoense
9.8%
book 8.1%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 53.0% | 32.1% | 14.9% |
| poisson | 81.6% | 12.9% | 5.6% |
| elo | 46.0% | 26.2% | 27.8% |
| market | 74.7% | 17.2% | 8.1% |
- Cruzeiro wPPG 0.83 (home 1.50, L-L-D-D-L)
- Chapecoense wPPG 0.87 (away 0.33, W-D-D-L-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.79
- xG Cruzeiro 2.36 vs Chapecoense 0.42
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Cruzeiro 1484 vs Chapecoense 1457
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker 1X2 prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).