Brasileirão Betano
Vasco da Gama vs Red Bull Bragantino
Sunday, May 24, 23:30
Consensus
Medium · 50.2%Vasco da Gama
50.6%
book 48.1%
Draw
27.6%
book 27.7%
Red Bull Bragantino
21.8%
book 24.2%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 44.9% | 35.0% | 20.1% |
| poisson | 64.6% | 21.9% | 13.5% |
| elo | 42.6% | 27.8% | 29.6% |
| market | 48.1% | 27.7% | 24.2% |
- Vasco da Gama wPPG 1.37 (home 2.00, L-D-L-L-W)
- Red Bull Bragantino wPPG 1.50 (away 1.25, W-W-L-D-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.50
- xG Vasco da Gama 1.63 vs Red Bull Bragantino 0.56
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Vasco da Gama 1500 vs Red Bull Bragantino 1497
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker 1X2 prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).