Brasileirão Betano

Vasco da Gama vs Mirassol

Saturday, Jul 25, 23:30

Consensus

Medium · 59.1%
Vasco da Gama
62.4%
Draw
22.7%
Mirassol
15.0%

Per-model

ModelHomeDrawAway
form60.3%29.1%10.6%
poisson72.0%16.1%11.9%
elo43.9%27.2%28.9%
  • Vasco da Gama wPPG 1.46 (home 2.00, D-L-L-W-D)
  • Mirassol wPPG 0.90 (away 0.57, W-D-D-D-L)
  • Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.09
  • xG Vasco da Gama 2.24 vs Mirassol 0.75
  • League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
  • Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
  • Elo Vasco da Gama 1494 vs Mirassol 1481
  • Home-field bonus +60

Value

No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).

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