Brasileirão Betano
Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama
Wednesday, Jul 29, 18:00
Consensus
Low · 36.4%Chapecoense
29.1%
Draw
27.3%
Vasco da Gama
43.6%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 19.5% | 34.7% | 45.8% |
| poisson | 32.5% | 20.6% | 46.9% |
| elo | 34.8% | 31.6% | 33.6% |
- Chapecoense wPPG 0.35 (home 0.43, L-D-D-L-L)
- Vasco da Gama wPPG 1.46 (away 0.57, D-L-L-W-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.53
- xG Chapecoense 1.49 vs Vasco da Gama 1.84
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Chapecoense 1440 vs Vasco da Gama 1494
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).