Brasileirão Betano
Botafogo vs Grêmio
Wednesday, Jul 29, 18:00
Consensus
Medium · 51.1%Botafogo
55.3%
Draw
25.6%
Grêmio
19.1%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 42.3% | 35.9% | 21.8% |
| poisson | 69.6% | 18.0% | 12.4% |
| elo | 42.6% | 27.8% | 29.6% |
- Botafogo wPPG 1.06 (home 1.33, L-L-W-L-W)
- Grêmio wPPG 1.14 (away 0.50, L-W-D-D-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.41
- xG Botafogo 1.99 vs Grêmio 0.67
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Botafogo 1497 vs Grêmio 1494
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).