Brasileirão Betano

Fluminense vs Bahia

Thursday, Jul 30, 00:30

Consensus

Medium · 52.8%
Fluminense
56.3%
Draw
24.0%
Bahia
19.7%

Per-model

ModelHomeDrawAway
form46.5%34.4%19.1%
poisson68.7%16.4%14.9%
elo43.5%27.4%29.1%
  • Fluminense wPPG 1.80 (home 2.38, D-W-L-W-W)
  • Bahia wPPG 1.80 (away 1.86, W-D-W-D-W)
  • Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.56
  • xG Fluminense 2.33 vs Bahia 0.96
  • League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
  • Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
  • Elo Fluminense 1516 vs Bahia 1506
  • Home-field bonus +60

Value

No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).

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