Brasileirão Betano
Santos vs Chapecoense
Saturday, Jul 25, 21:30
Consensus
Medium · 67.8%Santos
72.6%
Draw
19.5%
Chapecoense
7.9%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 68.5% | 25.2% | 6.4% |
| poisson | 82.9% | 13.0% | 4.1% |
| elo | 50.2% | 24.2% | 25.6% |
- Santos wPPG 0.98 (home 1.75, L-D-L-W-D)
- Chapecoense wPPG 0.35 (away 0.14, L-D-D-L-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.48
- xG Santos 2.24 vs Chapecoense 0.29
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Santos 1497 vs Chapecoense 1440
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).