Brasileirão Betano

Bahia vs Corinthians

Sunday, Jul 26, 19:00

Consensus

Medium · 50.9%
Bahia
53.9%
Draw
27.2%
Corinthians
18.9%

Per-model

ModelHomeDrawAway
form44.5%35.1%20.4%
poisson64.6%21.9%13.5%
elo44.4%26.9%28.7%
  • Bahia wPPG 1.80 (home 1.25, W-D-W-D-W)
  • Corinthians wPPG 1.46 (away 0.88, W-W-D-L-D)
  • Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.49
  • xG Bahia 1.63 vs Corinthians 0.56
  • League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
  • Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
  • Elo Bahia 1506 vs Corinthians 1491
  • Home-field bonus +60

Value

No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).

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