FIFA World Cup
Australia vs Türkiye
Sunday, Jun 14, 04:00
Consensus
Medium · 57.1%Australia
45.5%
book 18.3%
Draw
22.4%
book 25.2%
Türkiye
32.1%
book 56.5%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 69.3% | 24.7% | 6.0% |
| poisson | 86.1% | 9.7% | 4.3% |
| elo | 53.3% | 22.7% | 24.0% |
| market | 18.3% | 25.2% | 56.5% |
- Australia wPPG 2.30 (home 1.89, W-W-W-D-W)
- Türkiye wPPG 1.24 (away 1.20, D-L-L-D-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.53
- xG Australia 2.78 vs Türkiye 0.44
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Australia 1573 vs Türkiye 1494
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker 1X2 prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- home 5.00EV +127.4%Edge 27.2%Kelly 31.8%