FIFA World Cup
Haiti vs Scotland
Sunday, Jun 14, 01:00
Consensus
Medium · 62.7%Haiti
50.9%
book 16.0%
Draw
16.1%
book 20.7%
Scotland
33.0%
book 63.3%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 71.0% | 24.0% | 5.0% |
| poisson | 96.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| elo | 59.5% | 19.8% | 20.7% |
| market | 16.0% | 20.7% | 63.3% |
- Haiti wPPG 1.27 (home 1.86, L-L-D-D-D)
- Scotland wPPG 0.69 (away 0.57, L-D-D-L-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.66
- xG Haiti 6.41 vs Scotland 1.09
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Haiti 1582 vs Scotland 1459
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker 1X2 prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- home 5.75EV +192.9%Edge 35.0%Kelly 40.6%