FIFA World Cup
Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
Thursday, Jun 18, 19:00
Consensus
High · 72.9%Switzerland
71.2%
book 62.0%
Draw
17.9%
book 22.5%
Bosnia & Herzegovina
10.9%
book 15.6%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 69.6% | 24.5% | 5.9% |
| poisson | 92.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| elo | 52.9% | 22.9% | 24.2% |
| market | 62.0% | 22.5% | 15.6% |
- Switzerland wPPG 1.18 (home 1.43, L-D-W-W-D)
- Bosnia & Herzegovina wPPG 0.45 (away 0.50, W-L-W-L-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.55
- xG Switzerland 3.91 vs Bosnia & Herzegovina 0.54
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Switzerland 1497 vs Bosnia & Herzegovina 1421
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker 1X2 prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- home 1.55EV +10.4%Edge 9.2%Kelly 18.8%