FIFA World Cup
Canada vs Qatar
Thursday, Jun 18, 22:00
Consensus
Medium · 68.6%Canada
75.1%
book 73.5%
Draw
16.0%
book 17.6%
Qatar
9.0%
book 9.0%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 55.3% | 31.2% | 13.5% |
| poisson | 92.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| elo | 46.6% | 25.9% | 27.5% |
| market | 73.5% | 17.6% | 9.0% |
- Canada wPPG 1.36 (home 1.56, L-W-D-W-L)
- Qatar wPPG 1.14 (away 0.38, D-W-L-D-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.88
- xG Canada 4.83 vs Qatar 0.94
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Canada 1509 vs Qatar 1478
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker 1X2 prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).