FIFA World Cup
Spain vs Cabo Verde
Monday, Jun 15, 16:00
Consensus
High · 80.1%Spain
91.0%
book 91.8%
Draw
6.4%
book 5.2%
Cabo Verde
2.6%
book 3.0%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 73.5% | 24.0% | 2.5% |
| poisson | 98.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| elo | 55.1% | 21.9% | 23.0% |
| market | 91.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
- Spain wPPG 2.82 (home 3.00, W-W-W-W-W)
- Cabo Verde wPPG 1.69 (away 0.60, W-W-D-W-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 2.11
- xG Spain 4.90 vs Cabo Verde 0.25
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Spain 1592 vs Cabo Verde 1500
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker 1X2 prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).