FIFA World Cup

Czechia vs South Africa

Thursday, Jun 18, 16:00

Consensus

Low · 49.0%
Czechia
51.6%
book 49.8%
Draw
27.0%
book 28.5%
South Africa
21.5%
book 21.7%

Per-model

ModelHomeDrawAway
form36.1%37.9%25.9%
poisson69.9%16.4%13.7%
elo43.0%27.6%29.4%
market49.8%28.5%21.7%
  • Czechia wPPG 1.84 (home 2.63, W-D-W-W-W)
  • South Africa wPPG 1.83 (away 1.83, D-W-W-W-L)
  • Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.21
  • xG Czechia 2.28 vs South Africa 0.88
  • League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
  • Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
  • Elo Czechia 1535 vs South Africa 1528
  • Home-field bonus +60
  • Bookmaker 1X2 prices, with their margin stripped out

Value

No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).

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