FIFA World Cup
Qatar vs Switzerland
Saturday, Jun 13, 19:00
Consensus
Low · 39.1%Qatar
31.5%
book 6.3%
Draw
18.5%
book 12.8%
Switzerland
50.0%
book 80.9%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 48.3% | 33.8% | 17.9% |
| poisson | 81.3% | 10.5% | 8.1% |
| elo | 39.5% | 29.3% | 31.2% |
| market | 6.3% | 12.8% | 80.9% |
- Qatar wPPG 1.38 (home 2.29, D-W-L-D-W)
- Switzerland wPPG 1.18 (away 1.00, L-D-W-W-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.62
- xG Qatar 3.23 vs Switzerland 0.96
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Qatar 1478 vs Switzerland 1497
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker 1X2 prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- home 13.00EV +309.9%Edge 25.2%Kelly 25.8%
- draw 7.00EV +29.4%Edge 5.7%Kelly 4.9%