MLS
New York City FC vs Chicago Fire
Saturday, Jul 25, 23:30
Consensus
Low · 23.9%New York City FC
38.3%
Draw
23.3%
Chicago Fire
38.4%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 17.5% | 33.6% | 48.9% |
| poisson | 54.0% | 14.0% | 32.0% |
| elo | 39.5% | 29.3% | 31.2% |
- New York City FC wPPG 1.56 (home 1.00, L-W-L-W-W)
- Chicago Fire wPPG 1.81 (away 1.57, W-W-W-D-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.64
- xG New York City FC 5.00 vs Chicago Fire 4.05
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo New York City FC 1506 vs Chicago Fire 1525
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).