MLS
DC United vs Toronto FC
Saturday, Jul 25, 23:30
Consensus
Low · 29.1%DC United
28.4%
Draw
31.6%
Toronto FC
39.9%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 28.6% | 39.3% | 32.1% |
| poisson | 23.4% | 27.0% | 49.6% |
| elo | 36.9% | 30.5% | 32.5% |
- DC United wPPG 0.89 (home 0.71, L-D-D-W-D)
- Toronto FC wPPG 0.94 (away 0.88, D-D-D-D-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.07
- xG DC United 0.75 vs Toronto FC 1.25
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo DC United 1459 vs Toronto FC 1497
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).