MLS
Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls
Wednesday, Jul 22, 23:30
Consensus
Medium · 60.4%Philadelphia Union
62.3%
Draw
21.7%
New York Red Bulls
16.0%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 63.8% | 27.5% | 8.7% |
| poisson | 66.9% | 16.2% | 16.9% |
| elo | 48.4% | 25.1% | 26.6% |
- Philadelphia Union wPPG 1.46 (home 1.00, W-W-L-W-W)
- New York Red Bulls wPPG 0.65 (away 0.89, L-D-L-W-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.25
- xG Philadelphia Union 2.48 vs New York Red Bulls 1.16
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Philadelphia Union 1509 vs New York Red Bulls 1465
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).