MLS
New England Revolution vs Toronto FC
Wednesday, Jul 22, 23:30
Consensus
Medium · 58.6%New England Revolution
66.8%
Draw
20.4%
Toronto FC
12.9%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 43.5% | 35.4% | 21.0% |
| poisson | 86.4% | 9.2% | 4.5% |
| elo | 43.0% | 27.6% | 29.4% |
- New England Revolution wPPG 0.91 (home 2.13, W-L-L-D-L)
- Toronto FC wPPG 0.94 (away 0.88, D-D-D-D-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.46
- xG New England Revolution 2.93 vs Toronto FC 0.51
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo New England Revolution 1503 vs Toronto FC 1497
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).