MLS
Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes
Sunday, May 24, 01:30
Consensus
Low · 22.8%Portland Timbers
37.7%
Draw
25.9%
San Jose Earthquakes
36.4%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 19.7% | 34.7% | 45.6% |
| poisson | 52.8% | 17.3% | 29.8% |
| elo | 36.1% | 30.9% | 33.0% |
- Portland Timbers wPPG 1.02 (home 1.86, D-D-W-L-D)
- San Jose Earthquakes wPPG 1.68 (away 2.00, W-L-W-L-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.53
- xG Portland Timbers 2.65 vs San Jose Earthquakes 2.00
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Portland Timbers 1465 vs San Jose Earthquakes 1509
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).